Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.115337 0.175175 0.245161 0.330510 0.429596 0.539180 0.667852
2025-12-07 0.038579 0.102625 0.195696 0.325537 0.491088 0.686968 0.929247
2025-12-14 0.009552 0.061259 0.158077 0.309647 0.516337 0.771642 1.097197
2025-12-21 0.002371 0.048465 0.155947 0.337361 0.594483 0.919447 1.340293
2025-12-28 0.000114 0.039454 0.155760 0.364993 0.670547 1.063327 1.577685
2026-01-04 NaN 0.029251 0.148713 0.379597 0.727350 1.181960 1.783731
2026-01-11 NaN 0.026600 0.156476 0.417212 0.815998 1.341558 2.040796
2026-01-18 NaN 0.022368 0.158553 0.444644 0.889892 1.481987 2.274160
2026-01-25 NaN 0.014817 0.147618 0.448072 0.928262 1.575393 2.448290
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005376 0.119823 0.417118 0.913612 1.596979 2.530441
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000474 0.090728 0.377045 0.881357 1.592366 2.577197
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.076845 0.363904 0.888486 1.639789 2.689693
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.072637 0.372526 0.932468 1.741554 2.877774
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.063494 0.368107 0.955200 1.814326 3.029194
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.050684 0.350897 0.955018 1.853743 3.135875
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.055313 0.380552 1.034073 2.005757 3.391571
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.059831 0.409971 1.112857 2.157567 3.647251
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.059410 0.425507 1.168039 2.275907 3.858853
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.067576 0.465435 1.265080 2.454140 4.150063
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.071883 0.494494 1.343643 2.606179 4.406797
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.067266 0.498123 1.378719 2.696278 4.581625
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.051334 0.465336 1.349680 2.693837 4.633074
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.034854 0.422793 1.300380 2.660263 4.641558